By Ira Iosebashvili
The Russian central bank cut its key interest
rates by 50 basis points Tuesday in an attempt to stimulate bank
lending and turn back the wave of speculative capital that has
flooded the ruble in recent months.
"A reduction in the difference between foreign
and domestic rates will help contain the strengthening ruble," the
bank said in a statement.
The reduction in the refinancing rate, the
benchmark to which commercial banks tie their deposit rates, to a
historic low of 9.0% is effective Wednesday. Other key rates, such
as the one-day repurchase rate on central bank loans, were cut as
well. Russia has cut rates by 400 basis points since April.
The ruble has strengthened around 27% against
the dollar since hitting its weakest level at RUB36.36 in February,
pushed higher by rising oil prices and a flood of speculative
capital seeking to take advantage of Russian interest rates, which
are several times higher than those found in Group of Seven
countries.
Analysts said the latest cuts will do
little to keep market participants away from the ruble. "Interest
rates are high no matter how you slice it," said Metropol's Mark
Rubinstein. "The carry trade is still going to attract
investors."
In a carry trade, an investor borrows in
currencies that are expected to have low interest rates over the
medium term to buy currencies that are expected to have higher
interest rates.
The central bank has tried to head off the
ruble's appreciation by buying more than $16 billion of foreign
currency in October and the first half of November and cutting the
refinancing rate nine times since April.
But the measures have done little to stop the
ruble, which has risen by around 10% against the dollar since
September, leading the central bank to hint at other strategies,
including limiting foreign borrowing by state-owned companies and
imposing a tax on cross-border currency transactions.
The rate cuts have done equally little to
stimulate bank lending, which ground to a halt as Russia was hit
with its first recession in a decade. Central bank data show that
loans to corporations fell by 0.7% in September from August, while
loans to consumers shrank by 1.1% in the same period.