Stroygazconsulting, Russia's largest oil and gas
infrastructure contractor, controlled by Ziyad Manasir, could
acquire Yamaltransstroy, which specializes in railroad
construction, and mainly carries out the construction of rail
infrastructure for Gazprom.
In recent years Yamaltransstroy has had only one
large contract - the construction of the
Obskaya-Bovanenkovo-Karskoe railroad, which is almost completed.
Recent results also indicated decrease in backlog: 1H 11 revenue
fell by 71% y-o-y to RUB 1.44bn, while the company saw operating
loss of RUB 56mn for 1H 11 compared to RUB 213mn operating profit
for 1H 10.
Positive impact on shares. We note that
Yamaltransstroy shares are illiquid. It trades at EV/S of 0.1 and
EV/EBITDA of 0.9 for 2011, due to the large discount to bad
corporate governance and low transparency. However, we believe that
acquisition by Stroygazconsulting could result in better corporate
governance and improved transparency for Yamaltransstroy. We
believe Stroygazconsulting could make a mandatory buyout offer
since we expect that it could buy at least a contolling stake in
the Yamaltransstroy (Igor Nak and his affiliates control 88% of
common equity). According to our estimates, the acquisition could
be made at least at USD 1,100 per share, which would imply with P/B
1_.
We believe the news could have positive impact
on Yamaltransstroy's share price.
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