According to press reports, Eurosibenergo CEO
Yevgeny Fedorov has made an offer to MRSK Holding CEO Nikolai Shvec
to buy MRSK Siberia, in which MRSK Holding has a controlling stake.
Irkutsk Grid Company, a Eurosibenergo subsidiary, may be the
buyer.
Previously Shvec and Lev Kuznetsov, governor of the Krasnoyarsk
region, had asked Deripaska to encourage Rusal's Krasnoyarsk
aluminum smelter to sign a contract for electricity distribution
with MRSK Siberia. Krasnoyarsk later terminated the contract with
MRSK Siberia and switched to Federal Grid Company in order to cut
costs. As a result, MRSK Siberia lost about RUB 8.1bn in revenue
over 2010-2011. MRSK Siberia is unable to recoup the losses from
other customers in the region given that the Russian government is
capping electricity tariffs.
If MRSK Siberia is bought by Eurosibenergo, it
could be positive for the company as Eurosibenergo sees an
opportunity to significantly improve operating and financial
efficiency. However, we do not expect the deal to be finalized
quickly. A possible near-term solution could be to transfer
management of MRSK Siberia to Eurosibenergo, with the company
granted an option to buy MRSK Holding's stake after achieving
specified KPIs. We expect a short-term positive reaction to the
news, but more sustained impact on MRSK Siberia's stock price is
likely only after additional information on the deal is
forthcoming.
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